In the first two parts of this ITM Market Factors series, we covered the market factors of “Consolidation” and “Marketing”.
HRchitect believes that a number of other factors will impact the evaluation, selection and implementation of ITM applications over the next 12-36 months. In this blog we will cover Niche and ITM Vendors vs. ERP Vendors. We also reveal the one ERP vendor with the best shot at closing the talent management gap the fastest that we alluded to in our July 16, 2008 blog about Market Trend Predictions.
Niche and ITM suite vendors have generally increased their feature / function lead – ERPs (e.g., Oracle, SAP, Lawson, Workday) and core HRMS platforms (e.g., Ultimate Software, NuView, Spectrum) will continue to invest in integrated talent management, but will not close the gap with the integrated talent management niche providers or talent-management-system suites – with one possible exception (see below). To put this observation in context, it’s necessary to understand some basic market dynamics:
For the niche provider, ongoing innovation is key to survival – maintaining a 12-18 month feature/function lead over the ERP vendors is necessary to continue market momentum and get enough new deals to guarantee continued solvency. For each Human Capital Management functional area there are generally two to three ‘thriving’ niche vendors and another three to five ‘surviving’ providers that are nimble and agile enough to stay ahead of the ERPs.
The emergence of the ITM suite vendors has further confused prospective customers – as these providers have generally achieved sufficient revenues and customer base to thrive, and have built a partner ‘ecosystem’ that rivals (in miniature) the ERPs. However, due to their niche heritage, most of these vendors have maintained the more agile development environments that enable them to maintain an innovation advantage.
The innovation gap varies by functional area, as the pace of innovation has slowed in more mature areas such as Recruiting and Learning Management, while Workforce Planning, Succession Management, and Career Planning remain quite volatile.
ERP vendors have much larger development organizations than either the niche vendors or full-suite providers; however, that resource is spread across a vast application portfolio. In addition, satisfying the broader customer bases of these providers makes it a real challenge to respond quickly to changes in market conditions. ERP product managers are faced with the daunting task of determining just how much functionality (combined with the advantage of built-in integration) is enough to “tip the scales” for a representative slice of the market.
The historical “balance of innovation” was dramatically affected by Oracle’s purchase of PeopleSoft in early 2005. The development focus for Oracle’s HCM applications (not only PeopleSoft, but E-Business Suite as well) was fragmented for almost 18 months as Oracle tried to determine sales, marketing, and development strategies in the aftermath of Larry Ellison’s infamous “Fusion” announcement. Oracle’s internal thrashing provided an unprecedented opportunity for niche ITM vendors to extend their innovation lead, and also gave the larger players in the space the breathing room to consider expanding their own application footprint via organic development and/or acquisition.
It is clear that both Oracle and SAP continue to invest substantially in expanding their
ITM footprint, and both deliver some strong capabilities in a tightly integrated environment. However, their development organizations will not be able to close the existing 18-to-24 month lead the niche providers have in feature/function. The midmarket core HRMS platforms will continue to try to build enough ITM capabilities into market core HRMS platforms will continue to try to build enough ITM capabilities into their product line to meet the needs of less complex firms in that space; this functionality is generally not robust enough to compete with the ITM suites.
The one possible exception to this trend is Lawson Software, a longtime ERP vendor that focused on US healthcare, retail and professional services organizations in the late 1990s, but has now broadened into global and manufacturing firms with the Intentia merger in 2005. Over the past two years Lawson has substantially increased overall HCM development efforts, including significant improvements in recruiting, performance management, and compensation capabilities. This functionality has been packaged into a Strategic HR product line (announced with four charter customers in March 2008), along with an updated user experience that incorporates many “Web 2.0” collaboration and communication features. Although the product is new and has a limited number of customers, Lawson seems to be the lone ERP vendor that has made some headway against the ITM suite providers.
Solving a piece of the puzzle…
Matt Lafata, HRchitect